AI & Intelligence

Decision Ledger

A real Decision Ledger: log a decision's alternatives and your actual stated confidence the moment it's made, then come back and record what really happened -- closing a loop almost no business software ever closes. Precedent search surfaces similar past decisions and how they actually turned out before you make a new one.

5Features
3Benefits
0Industry Clouds

Problems Solved

  • Nobody ever goes back and checks whether a past decision or forecast was actually right.
  • The same debate gets re-litigated because nobody remembers what was tried before, or why it did or didn't work.
  • "How good is our judgment, really?" has no real answer -- just opinions.

Benefits

  • A real, checkable record of judgment over time instead of just opinions
  • Institutional memory that survives someone leaving -- precedent is queryable, not stuck in one person's head
  • Confidence that's actually calibrated against reality, not just asserted

Features

Structured capture: title, alternatives considered, and a 0-100 confidence estimate at decision timeScheduled review reminders -- a real notification when a decision's review date arrivesOutcome recording: what actually happened, rated Good/Mixed/BadCalibration summary: average stated confidence broken down by how decisions with a recorded outcome actually turned outPrecedent search: real keyword-overlap matching against past decisions with a recorded outcome, surfaced while logging a new one

How It Actually Works

1

Decision logged

Title, description, alternatives seriously considered, and a real 0-100 confidence estimate are captured at the moment the call is made -- not reconstructed afterward.

2

Precedent checked

As it's typed, a real keyword-overlap search runs against past decisions that already have a recorded outcome, surfacing what happened last time something similar was tried.

3

Review reminder fires

On the decision's real review date, a scheduled sweep notifies the decision-maker to come back -- it never guesses or auto-fills an outcome, only prompts a human to record one.

4

Outcome recorded

What actually happened is logged and rated Good/Mixed/Bad, permanently closing the loop on that specific decision.

5

Calibration computed

Average stated confidence is broken down by real outcome rating -- well-calibrated judgment shows higher confidence on Good outcomes than Bad ones; if the numbers are close, stated confidence isn't tracking reality.

Getting Started

  1. 1Enable Decision Ledger from the Module Marketplace
  2. 2Log a decision with a review date that matches when its outcome will actually be knowable -- there's no value in reviewing before that
  3. 3Come back on the review date (or whenever the notification arrives) and record what really happened -- the calibration summary is only ever as good as the outcomes people actually record

Works Well With

Need help implementing Decision Ledger?

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